Decided to try something new this week and put up some hard[er] core research. Not going to promise I'll do this every week, as it takes a few hours to complete.
I did have a hard time finding comparables for Leatherheads & Nim's Island, so while the movies listed for those aren't the best fit, they are the best I could find without diving into Block-Buster movies. The Ruins on the other hand had a huge amount to draw comparable data from.
So first, let's look at the comparable movies I could find from this year and last year for each of this weeks openers. These are opening weekend Gross, PTA, and the movie rating.
Now lets see this weeks PTA & Break Even snapshot [as of this post]
What you're probably going to ask is why didn't I put in comparables in regards to the lead actors. Well, I find that irrelevant to box office potential. Put an unknown actor in a great movie, and they become known, put a known actor in a bad movie...and the box office tally still stinks.
Predictions:
Leatherheads: 18 million [6,600PTA]
Nim's Island: 20 million [5,800PTA]
The Ruins: 10 million [4,000PTA]
Thanks for coming by
Credits:[box office data]
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