Thursday, April 17, 2008

Weekend Comparables and Estimates 4/17/08

This weeks Comparables & Break Even snapshot with PTA:

Click on image for larger version
Forbidden Kingdom:

Jackie Chan and Jet Li in the same movie! I personally can't wait to see this one. The PG-13 rating is going to definitely help give it a large pool to draw box office from. I expect this to be the easy winner this weekend.

Estimate: 20-25 Million

Forgetting Sarah Marshall:

This latest Judd Apatow offering is about a man dumped by his hottie girlfriend and not being able to get away from her, even after traveling to Hawaii. This looks like a good Apatow Rom/Com, so I'm going to say it does closer to 40 Year Old Virgin and Superbad type business rather than Drillbit Taylor. I'm not expecting the R rating to hurt this , as Apatow's R rated do better than his PG-13 offerings.

Estimate: 19-22 Million

88 Minutes:

Al Pacino has had his not-so-good performances in the box office, but his cop drama/thrillers tend to do better than his other movies. The movies TV spots and trailer look half way decent, so I would say the typical movie goer has no idea that this is a turd being given a "token" release. Tight competition is going to hold this way back along with Pacino's fading popularity.

Estimate: 7-10 Million

Credits:

Box Office Mojo
Hollywood Stock Exchange

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