Estimates for 11-6-2009

This week brings us an assortment of wide openers. Not all of which are very compelling.

Jim Carrey: A Christmas Carol

An animated remake of the Christmas classic. This movie has been remade numerous times over the decades, some more popular than others. Can Mr. Carrey strike gold again with a beloved classic? I don't think so. This is no Grinch. My research on other opening films around this time in November was fairly revealing of the potential: Barring a "Grinch" opening [which I don't think it can do] we're looking at less than 40 million, probably closer to mid-to-lower 30 million range.

Men Who Stare at Goats

George Clooney, Ewan McGregor, Kevin Spacey and Jeff Bridges. Nice cast and a nice change of pace for the weekend with a comedy. I expect this to strike the Box Office with the same not so hot iron as other Clooney flicks. Although, I have to admit, it looks pretty funny.

The Forth Kind

Who doesn't like a little alien abduction? Or better yet Milla Jovovich? Why didn't this open last week against This Is It, was everyone that afraid of Michael Jackson? This could be a fairly good flick, but the best weekend for it to open has passed.

The Box

Cameron Diaz in a supernatural thriller about a magical and mysterious box. Again, why didn't this open during Halloween weekend? It's best chance at maximizing potential was last week. I don't see any real compelling reason for this to do very well.

Estimates:

A Christmas Carol: +-35 Million

Men Who Stare at Goats: Sub 20 Million

Fourth Kind: Sub 10 Million

The Box: Sub 10 Million

Credits:

HSX
Box Office Mojo